Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Matthew Dellavedova vs Maximus Jones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f94308289a50d61c14c4c462c671ad5f02d5e59b9de7d4db0f248c5abd7e80e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew Dellavedovaof Matthew Dellavedova, Maximus Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Maximus Jones | 17c | 13,552$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.92 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Matthew Dellavedova | 64c | 2,027$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.25 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maximus Jones | 32c | 1,218$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.67 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maximus Jones | 37c | 1,125$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maximus Jones | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Maximus Jones | 33c | 502.12$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.7 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 76c | 422.3$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 75c | 404.91$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matthew Dellavedova | 77c | 394.92$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 78c | 377.79$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 75c | 325.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Maximus Jones | 23c | 310.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 372 | 21.5%80 W · 292 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Maximus Jones | 14c | 234.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Matthew Dellavedova | 68c | 190$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 61c | 167.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Maximus Jones | 13c | 111.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 415 | 35.4%147 W · 268 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Matthew Dellavedova | 72c | 95.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Maximus Jones | 35c | 91.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Maximus Jones | 38c | 87.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Maximus Jones | 35c | 69.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 223 | 18.8%42 W · 181 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Maximus Jones | 21c | 58.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Matthew Dellavedova | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Maximus Jones | 33c | 46.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Matthew Dellavedova | 61c | 36.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Maximus Jones | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Matthew Dellavedova | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Matthew Dellavedova | 79c | 22.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Matthew Dellavedova | 61c | 19.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…85d7backed Matthew Dellavedova | 64c | 15.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.