Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fc35bf1d71e62899aeabed0588c957fb0c77d71f2619bede7a8871234d3a9c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Rex Regum Qeon, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 34c | 518.94$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed Rex Regum Qeon | 5c | 389.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Paper Rex | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Rex Regum Qeon | 55c | 309.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Rex Regum Qeon | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Rex Regum Qeon | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Paper Rex | 56c | 170.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Paper Rex | 50c | 139$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Paper Rex | 67c | 111.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rex Regum Qeon | 39c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Rex Regum Qeon | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Paper Rex | 69c | 61.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rex Regum Qeon | 51c | 43.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…225cbacked Paper Rex | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…f4f0backed Rex Regum Qeon | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Paper Rex | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked Paper Rex | 67c | 15.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Map Handicap: PR (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)Rex Regum Qeon won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerRex Regum Qeon won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex - Map 4 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.