Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc34611206f7c9b46b41924563396b25dfa90668270587d1197c7f4345ff8df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rex Regum Qeonof Rex Regum Qeon, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Paper Rex | 58c | 5,381$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.83 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 78c | 4,338$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.76 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rex Regum Qeon | 45c | 2,571$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.63 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Rex Regum Qeon | 68c | 1,903$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.1 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Paper Rex | 2c | 942$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Paper Rex | 31c | 822.37$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.7 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Paper Rex | 13c | 792.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Rex Regum Qeon | 45c | 557.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.73 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rex Regum Qeon | 71c | 528.58$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.36 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Rex Regum Qeon | 36c | 405.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paper Rex | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Paper Rex | 39c | 351.48$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Paper Rex | 58c | 282.82$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.55 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Paper Rex | 28c | 252.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex | 53c | 248.74$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Paper Rex | 64c | 217.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Paper Rex | 40c | 209.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Rex Regum Qeon | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…cf21backed Paper Rex | 64c | 187.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Paper Rex | 56c | 160$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 41c | 158$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Paper Rex | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Paper Rex | 18c | 103.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…225cbacked Paper Rex | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Paper Rex | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed Paper Rex | 33c | 67.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rex Regum Qeon | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…b9fbbacked Paper Rex | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked Paper Rex | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Paper Rex | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Paper Rex | 36c | 41.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Rex Regum Qeon | 79c | 40.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Rex Regum Qeon | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c9…d487backed Paper Rex | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Rex Regum Qeon | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Rex Regum Qeon | 46c | 32.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…6154backed Paper Rex | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Rex Regum Qeon | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed Rex Regum Qeon | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Paper Rex | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 54c | 21.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Map Handicap: PR (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)Rex Regum Qeon won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex - Map 4 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.