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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs MEIA NOITE - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
ex-MIBR Academyof ex-MIBR Academy, MEIA NOITE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,736 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd619…c461backed MEIA NOITE42c750$318 inLost-$317.538841.8%162 W · 226 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked ex-MIBR Academy58c571.21$331 inWon+$239.7411471.1%81 W · 33 L+18.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+27.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MEIA NOITE15c453.5$66 inLost-$66.25,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-MIBR Academy57c343$196 inWon+$147.495,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed MEIA NOITE70c276.83$195 inLost-$19516444.5%73 W · 91 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed ex-MIBR Academy60c195.67$117 inWon+$78.821,70447%801 W · 903 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed MEIA NOITE56c144$81 inLost-$80.6433243.7%145 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked ex-MIBR Academy44c126.82$56 inWon+$71.023868.4%26 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-MIBR Academy80c80$64 inWon+$161,49652.9%791 W · 705 L+30.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed ex-MIBR Academy16c75$12 inWon+$631,55433.9%527 W · 1,027 L-73.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed MEIA NOITE22c73$16 inLost-$16.391,20642%506 W · 700 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeabf…bb11backed MEIA NOITE28c70.39$20 inLost-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MEIA NOITE41c67.24$28 inLost-$27.522,13742%897 W · 1,240 L-48.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ex-MIBR Academy72c53$38 inWon+$14.652,29343.3%994 W · 1,299 L-70.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x903c…02febacked ex-MIBR Academy79c50.38$40 inWon+$10.385644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed MEIA NOITE64c50$32 inLost-$325644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed MEIA NOITE28c49.36$14 inLost-$13.7651756.3%291 W · 226 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked MEIA NOITE24c48$11 inLost-$11.281,27954.3%694 W · 585 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61cd…1e02backed ex-MIBR Academy60c39.93$24 inWon+$15.97955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked MEIA NOITE42c37.88$16 inLost-$15.9119166.5%127 W · 64 L+15.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed MEIA NOITE33c35.44$12 inLost-$11.619646.9%92 W · 104 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed ex-MIBR Academy59c33.62$20 inWon+$13.7627449.3%135 W · 139 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed ex-MIBR Academy59c30.51$18 inWon+$12.5113567.4%91 W · 44 L+19.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1138…b8c7backed ex-MIBR Academy60c16.71$10 inWon+$6.711872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.