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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs MEIA NOITE - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
ex-MIBR Academyof ex-MIBR Academy, MEIA NOITE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,640 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd619…c461backed MEIA NOITE42c750$318 inLost-$317.538841.8%162 W · 226 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked ex-MIBR Academy58c571.21$331 inWon+$239.7411471.1%81 W · 33 L+18.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+27.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed ex-MIBR Academy67c298.51$200 inWon+$98.5121653.2%115 W · 101 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-MIBR Academy57c269$154 inWon+$115.295,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed MEIA NOITE41c219.51$90 inLost-$9010553.3%56 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed ex-MIBR Academy58c199.42$116 inWon+$83.2569348.2%334 W · 359 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed MEIA NOITE22c159.25$35 inLost-$3533243.7%145 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed ex-MIBR Academy60c152.4$91 inWon+$60.9613869.6%96 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed MEIA NOITE40c133.88$54 inLost-$53.5516141.6%67 W · 94 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MEIA NOITE36c117.39$42 inLost-$41.72,13742%897 W · 1,240 L-48.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed ex-MIBR Academy58c116.37$67 inWon+$48.8856448.2%272 W · 292 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-MIBR Academy77c108$83 inWon+$24.935,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked MEIA NOITE41c89.85$37 inLost-$36.8412044.2%53 W · 67 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed MEIA NOITE41c83.41$34 inLost-$34.245743.5%199 W · 258 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed MEIA NOITE41c70.37$29 inLost-$28.859535.8%34 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-MIBR Academy59c58$34 inWon+$23.71,27954.3%694 W · 585 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed MEIA NOITE40c55.74$22 inLost-$22.551756.3%291 W · 226 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed MEIA NOITE43c49.44$21 inLost-$21.2656948.9%278 W · 291 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked ex-MIBR Academy66c47.23$31 inWon+$16.0619767.5%133 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe554…588dbacked MEIA NOITE34c47.23$16 inLost-$16.06210%0 W · 21 L-8.1wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed ex-MIBR Academy80c44.25$35 inWon+$8.8550841.3%210 W · 298 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked MEIA NOITE42c37.88$16 inLost-$15.9119166.5%127 W · 64 L+15.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed MEIA NOITE42c34.82$15 inLost-$14.6229347.8%140 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed ex-MIBR Academy59c33.79$20 inWon+$13.7913567.4%91 W · 44 L+19.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6428…c83abacked ex-MIBR Academy60c19.76$12 inWon+$84488.6%39 W · 5 L+8.3wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+27.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.