TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,006 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c608.1$133 inLost-$133.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over78c450.1$351 inWon+$99.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Over45c313.48$141 inWon+$172.4240163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under22c200$44 inLost-$4436838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad6…34c6backed Under10c199.99$20 inLost-$203636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb202…04adbacked Over78c126.92$99 inWon+$27.928071.3%57 W · 23 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Under24c116.32$27 inLost-$27.4351458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under55c104.67$58 inLost-$57.5716452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6522…5ab3backed Over78c104.41$82 inWon+$22.5813945.3%63 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ec…a74cbacked Over79c91.41$72 inWon+$19.251241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over79c72.14$57 inWon+$15.151,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over77c71.36$55 inWon+$16.411,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81dd…bd8fbacked Over78c50$39 inWon+$113366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed4…3abdbacked Over80c49$39 inWon+$9.82864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x706c…1ca6backed Over54c44.96$24 inWon+$20.596434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8875…1b32backed Over77c40.92$32 inWon+$9.411384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab1…d8f6backed Over74c40$30 inWon+$10.41872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x410b…30c6backed Over71c29.98$21 inWon+$8.691478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Under40c25$10 inLost-$1027837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked Over60c25$15 inWon+$106334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6592…eb7fbacked Under54c20.37$11 inLost-$112429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-47.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4c1f…08a6backed Over76c19.99$15 inWon+$4.825221.4%54 W · 198 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x956b…7eb1backed Over80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.59659.4%57 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.