Fifa International · resolved market
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba40541946906a5f8a482bad7fe1ebf3bc75dde6959705b4326daf9c8881c0d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 22c | 778$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 78c | 769$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.18 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 22c | 387.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 12c | 267.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 78c | 199.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…a568backed Over | 25c | 189.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 79c | 138.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…6a42backed Over | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…3925backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 77c | 91.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 15c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 79c | 64.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 78c | 49.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 75c | 29.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 77c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe912…a7f8backed Under | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Team to Take First CornerAustria won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.