Fifa International · resolved market
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82fe57551c40222d034e9c33706bb07475354a09ed4defd2587b4fabd4440bad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 41c | 250$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 29c | 240$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 71c | 240$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 59c | 239$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 47c | 190.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 31c | 155$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…540fbacked Over | 55c | 146.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 58c | 115.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 48c | 103.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 71c | 102$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 42c | 52.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Under | 63c | 47.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 40c | 46.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 43c | 46.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 33c | 39.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 37c | 35.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 59c | 34.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa3…ef0cbacked Over | 44c | 32.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 26.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…5a76backed Over | 44c | 24.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Team to Take First CornerAustria won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.