Fifa International · resolved market
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ed726ea6537291ddc82600cc9376def59cfeb336b577f52edffe809883609f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 769.61$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 47c | 613.6$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.21 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…ea73backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Over | 52c | 590.4$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.68 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 48c | 435.02$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.57 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 416.45$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 52c | 404.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.16 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 372$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.01 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 45c | 336.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 59c | 273.34$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 264.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.73 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Over | 52c | 215.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 48c | 194.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f2aabacked Over | 53c | 189.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…540fbacked Over | 27c | 186.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 65c | 177.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 165.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 50c | 159.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 58c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 47c | 90.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…79c3backed Under | 49c | 89.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 78c | 87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 72c | 79.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…5e33backed Over | 52c | 66.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 45c | 50.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…9a99backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…beaabacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 39c | 30.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 30.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 53c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 47c | 23.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Team to Take First CornerAustria won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.