La Liga · resolved market
Granada CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x805f2b2dcec2b724d08270c2a06c99cf597e8923d61c5ae989563590e58c52ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 3,508$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.47 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 2,803$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.65 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 8c | 1,150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 51c | 305.28$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.07 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 10c | 293.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 49c | 203.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 32c | 171.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 46c | 108.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 37c | 82.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 63c | 60.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 459 | 49.7%228 W · 231 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 63c | 59.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 36c | 46.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 63c | 28.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 205 | 41.5%85 W · 120 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 74c | 25.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granada CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Granada CF vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Granada CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Granada CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Granada CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.