Lol · resolved market
First Blood in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80849eb1750171941094121693220888edbc5aa9de017ca5f2ace548511cbcd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Gamingof G2 Esports, SK Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked SK Gaming | 79c | 5,635$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.33 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed SK Gaming | 47c | 2,253$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.6 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed G2 Esports | 53c | 2,170$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.94 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked G2 Esports | 22c | 410$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 208 | 36.1%75 W · 133 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed G2 Esports | 22c | 410$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed G2 Esports | 12c | 400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed G2 Esports | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked G2 Esports | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed G2 Esports | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked G2 Esports | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 177 | 39.5%70 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked G2 Esports | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed G2 Esports | 12c | 400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed G2 Esports | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +195%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed G2 Esports | 22c | 205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed G2 Esports | 22c | 205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed G2 Esports | 22c | 205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed G2 Esports | 22c | 205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed G2 Esports | 22c | 205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked G2 Esports | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed G2 Esports | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed G2 Esports | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked G2 Esports | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- First Blood in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?SK Gaming won
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.