NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80d7c1129c5553549825ef3f97a0b6f74e0d8331269c85df8c8b0ff99c012c91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Nets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 7c | 30,088$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.76 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Nets | 1c | 14,997$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Nets | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nets | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nets | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Nets | 6c | 4,665$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.37 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nets | 5c | 4,129$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.43 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nets | 3c | 2,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets | 5c | 1,601$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Nets | 3c | 1,503$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Nets | 5c | 1,411$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nets | 7c | 1,335$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Nets | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Nets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nets | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…ec97backed Nets | 2c | 890$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Nets | 6c | 789.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nets | 4c | 780.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Nets | 7c | 718$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Nets | 3c | 712.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Nets | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Nets | 5c | 413.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nets | 6c | 404.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nets | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Nets | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Nets | 7c | 271$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nets | 5c | 251.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Nets | 7c | 242.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Nets | 6c | 213.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Nets | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nets | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed Nets | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.