Lol · resolved market
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8119f7d7ff08a66dd9c66a078b4c6d9a2e609deb851e0d92d3c355d9e20daeb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSof ROSSMANN Centaurs, E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 39c | 5,945$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.45 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 60c | 3,700$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.81 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 23c | 2,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 73c | 1,968$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 1,953$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.3 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 1,089$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.57 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 981$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 66c | 841.82$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.14 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 12c | 821.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 60c | 721.16$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.46 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 78c | 532.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 199 | 59.8%119 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 75c | 505$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 68c | 502$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 61c | 500.02$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 32c | 475.35$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.11 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 460.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 61c | 445.25$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.65 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 266.55$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 29c | 247.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…97b6backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 242.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 229.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 62c | 198.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 186.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 36c | 186.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 75c | 174.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 121.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 14c | 119.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 32c | 114$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d96…3d50backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 30c | 112.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 110.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 61c | 104.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 67c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…0bdbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…0710backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 74.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 286 | 57%163 W · 123 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 21c | 70.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 78c | 67.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…866bbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 66.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 78c | 57.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…2675backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 37c | 54.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…e8c7backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 52.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 497 | 56.3%280 W · 217 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 38c | 38.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 855 | 54.7%468 W · 387 L | +33.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 37.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…cf1abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 65c | 30.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 393 | 52.4%206 W · 187 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…caf8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 61.9%109 W · 67 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 65c | 21.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 69c | 21.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 73c | 20.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 62c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…0115backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 356 | 56.2%200 W · 156 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 61c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 65c | 16.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…9588backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 311 | 55.9%174 W · 137 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (+1.5)ROSSMANN Centaurs won
- LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group AROSSMANN Centaurs won
- LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 WinnerROSSMANN Centaurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.