Tennis · resolved market
ITF Klosters: Tanguy Genier vs Noah Karma
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81292556cc7cd3e0bf492b55a739cfd6d2ce4e6f93adf09f8b4cbcbfbc8a8fc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tanguy Genierof Tanguy Genier, Noah Karma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Noah Karma | 65c | 593.29$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.91 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Noah Karma | 73c | 451.8$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.81 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tanguy Genier | 27c | 164.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Tanguy Genier | 28c | 157.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tanguy Genier | 39c | 140.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Noah Karma | 19c | 119.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tanguy Genier | 32c | 106.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Noah Karma | 66c | 102.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tanguy Genier | 42c | 83.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Tanguy Genier | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Tanguy Genier | 29c | 59.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tanguy Genier | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Tanguy Genier | 51c | 57.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Tanguy Genier | 35c | 56.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Noah Karma | 67c | 50.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tanguy Genier | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Tanguy Genier | 32c | 47.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Tanguy Genier | 36c | 46.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Tanguy Genier | 36c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Noah Karma | 60c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Tanguy Genier | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Tanguy Genier | 40c | 32.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Tanguy Genier | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Noah Karma | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Noah Karma | 78c | 23.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Noah Karma | 51c | 19.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Noah Karma | 69c | 18.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.