Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81430b5288fbf24ec57e8d094aab4bc084778686cf4fa119430ea38b8862da16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked No | 1c | 1,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 648.51$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 44c | 432.8$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.37 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…2c03backed No | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…6edfbacked No | 44c | 214$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5f…bb63backed Yes | 57c | 212.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5b…9154backed Yes | 56c | 209.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a8…b549backed No | 44c | 208$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…5f98backed Yes | 56c | 207.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eef…dba3backed No | 43c | 207$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…4097backed No | 43c | 205$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…b9f7backed Yes | 57c | 203.76$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…2a26backed Yes | 56c | 203.19$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…3523backed Yes | 57c | 202.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…c787backed Yes | 57c | 200.17$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…921cbacked Yes | 57c | 197.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…4f8cbacked No | 44c | 197$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…79adbacked Yes | 57c | 196.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…6160backed No | 43c | 196$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…0b29backed No | 44c | 196$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7807…a903backed No | 43c | 195$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…aff7backed Yes | 56c | 194.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb255…3433backed No | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 39.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 76c | 30.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 55c | 26.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.