TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hull City AFCof Birmingham City FC, Hull City AFC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,191 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6f67…102cbacked Birmingham City FC14c607$85 inLost-$84.984325.6%11 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a4…a4ccbacked Hull City AFC48c245.29$118 inWon+$127.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe246…4471backed Hull City AFC48c243.02$117 inWon+$126.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78d6…116abacked Hull City AFC48c242.93$117 inWon+$126.324100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab82…c156backed Hull City AFC48c241.79$116 inWon+$125.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5dc…d448backed Hull City AFC48c241.08$116 inWon+$125.36850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d4…3f2abacked Hull City AFC48c235.01$113 inWon+$122.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e9…9107backed Hull City AFC48c234.48$113 inWon+$121.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x333c…fe96backed Hull City AFC48c234.47$113 inWon+$121.924100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3870…10c0backed Hull City AFC48c229.37$110 inWon+$119.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e68…31d8backed Hull City AFC48c228.78$110 inWon+$118.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ca…76f2backed Hull City AFC48c228.68$110 inWon+$118.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x382b…7f14backed Hull City AFC48c227.6$109 inWon+$118.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff53…24fbbacked Hull City AFC48c227.01$109 inWon+$118.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0029…80ecbacked Hull City AFC48c224.89$108 inWon+$116.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1dc…9389backed Hull City AFC48c211.82$102 inWon+$110.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.