Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b9153af392dc657aeb8655495099928cdbe786df2fb5e7d9a06e1e90ae4556e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 49c | 4,107$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Over | 49c | 2,116$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.99 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 1,258$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.32 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,108$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.58 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 51c | 826.75$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.11 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 816.02$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.32 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 658.04$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 395.83$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 49c | 357.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 47c | 297.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 51c | 234.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 214$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…b9f7backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 76c | 125.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 53c | 111.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 61.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 33c | 58.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 50c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 52c | 35.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 49c | 22.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Over | 47c | 21.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Under | 63c | 18.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.