Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd5e12a6e8cc6a68863d197c214fa5499d109e412f123a4974b712995731474
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 1,800$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 1,576$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.9 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 38c | 1,039$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.37 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 63c | 590$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 521.42$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…23c3backed Under | 27c | 381.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…b7d1backed Over | 73c | 381.84$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 333.47$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 192.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…8166backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked Under | 27c | 96.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Over | 73c | 48.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Over | 73c | 47.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Over | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.