CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: JAM (-1.5) vs LPH Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8163b9e6299ab5b8ea0a83d41b6a5f6b3de335284f04ffbe3b712ad69dca4414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JAMof JAM, LPH Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked JAM | 47c | 2,467$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.51 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked LPH Gaming | 53c | 1,924$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.59 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed LPH Gaming | 52c | 857.61$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.5 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed LPH Gaming | 50c | 828.54$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.96 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed JAM | 49c | 575.45$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked LPH Gaming | 31c | 524.78$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed LPH Gaming | 29c | 493.27$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked LPH Gaming | 48c | 445.89$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.86 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed JAM | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed LPH Gaming | 25c | 236$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed LPH Gaming | 51c | 167$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed LPH Gaming | 47c | 146.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed LPH Gaming | 39c | 128.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…285dbacked LPH Gaming | 47c | 102.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed JAM | 48c | 90.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked JAM | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed JAM | 50c | 76.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed JAM | 52c | 74.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed LPH Gaming | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked JAM | 48c | 69.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed LPH Gaming | 51c | 59.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed JAM | 47c | 38.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed JAM | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ae18backed JAM | 53c | 28.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked LPH Gaming | 48c | 25.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked LPH Gaming | 48c | 23.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: JAM (-1.5) vs LPH Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: JAM vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 PlayoffsJAM won
- Counter-Strike: JAM vs LPH Gaming - Map 1 WinnerJAM won
- Counter-Strike: JAM vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 WinnerJAM won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.