Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8173db6c453bb4f235c07abb217e916d9fdfe701fef32cd94eee2e02b537dd8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 58c | 3,630$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,512$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.5 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 1c | 1,450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 31c | 864.04$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.23 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 44c | 802.48$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.73 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 754$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.96 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 48c | 751.94$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.01 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 741.86$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.86 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 555.7$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.29 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 517.86$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.08 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 430.56$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 16c | 361.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 41c | 341$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.19 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed No | 58c | 276.6$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 42c | 240.69$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 10c | 237.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 59c | 184.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 40c | 104$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 42c | 99.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 41c | 79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 69.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 61c | 60.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 51.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 57c | 42.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Yes | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 30.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6390…873ebacked No | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 42c | 28.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Preston North End FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.