Tennis · resolved market
ITF Taipei: Aishi Das vs Yuki Naito
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81bf4082878e7007ec042cdf4af973870396273942db264b90c2e3a124f4a165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aishi Dasof Aishi Das, Yuki Naito
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aishi Das | 36c | 5,045$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.55 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yuki Naito | 63c | 2,050$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.65 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yuki Naito | 62c | 1,154$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.41 | 497 | 52.3%260 W · 237 L | +28.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yuki Naito | 64c | 783.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.29 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aishi Das | 38c | 402.24$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.89 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aishi Das | 28c | 310.79$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.15 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aishi Das | 33c | 310.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.48 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yuki Naito | 68c | 303.11$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.74 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yuki Naito | 64c | 298$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Yuki Naito | 61c | 220.37$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Aishi Das | 15c | 190.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aishi Das | 38c | 184.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Yuki Naito | 63c | 181.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yuki Naito | 64c | 179.45$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Yuki Naito | 63c | 170.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Aishi Das | 24c | 161$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yuki Naito | 62c | 121.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Yuki Naito | 61c | 105.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aishi Das | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aishi Das | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yuki Naito | 64c | 99.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Yuki Naito | 62c | 77.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yuki Naito | 62c | 71.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yuki Naito | 74c | 67.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yuki Naito | 64c | 67.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Yuki Naito | 61c | 64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be2…e4c7backed Yuki Naito | 62c | 57.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yuki Naito | 63c | 53.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x367d…7312backed Yuki Naito | 62c | 52.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Aishi Das | 33c | 51.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…d0eebacked Yuki Naito | 65c | 51.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Yuki Naito | 61c | 50.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Yuki Naito | 62c | 49.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Yuki Naito | 64c | 47.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Yuki Naito | 63c | 47.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Yuki Naito | 64c | 46.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Yuki Naito | 61c | 42.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Yuki Naito | 74c | 38.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Yuki Naito | 64c | 32.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Yuki Naito | 64c | 23.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Yuki Naito | 64c | 22.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.