Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81e812efc22d200ba405a7009d5eaa3fd4e70253078d6accf06095978f0b1931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Yes | 47c | 3,484$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 3,254$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 1,640$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.28 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 62c | 1,254$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.81 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,176$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.76 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 877.34$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.99 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 46c | 752.55$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.62 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 52c | 729.95$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.05 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 47c | 713.02$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.9 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 47c | 713.02$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.9 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 53c | 660.37$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 359.53$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 344.84$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.37 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 35c | 282.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 23c | 281.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.12 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 206.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 199$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 22c | 140.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 131.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 49c | 125.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 52c | 119.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…cc6bbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 57c | 103.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 39c | 93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Yes | 23c | 71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +342.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 48c | 60.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 22c | 54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 47c | 52.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 42c | 52.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 50c | 48.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 53c | 44.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 77c | 27.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 54c | 26.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 58c | 23.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 53c | 22.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Yes | 74c | 22.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.