Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Miriana Tona vs Lucia Bronzetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81f613fbff595757608af65daf6906efc689b41ab0d3228128fef3a82bacb1c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucia Bronzettiof Miriana Tona, Lucia Bronzetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miriana Tona | 23c | 9,396$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.19 | 931 | 40.4%376 W · 555 L | -32.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Miriana Tona | 11c | 4,226$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.53 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Miriana Tona | 3c | 2,298$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Miriana Tona | 23c | 2,113$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.96 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Miriana Tona | 4c | 1,282$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b26ebacked Miriana Tona | 8c | 1,186$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Miriana Tona | 3c | 969.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lucia Bronzetti | 75c | 956.66$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.57 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Miriana Tona | 14c | 951.32$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Miriana Tona | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Miriana Tona | 8c | 472.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Lucia Bronzetti | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miriana Tona | 77c | 317.65$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.38 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 303.46$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miriana Tona | 8c | 279.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Miriana Tona | 10c | 215.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Miriana Tona | 20c | 178.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 2,079 | 44.4%923 W · 1,156 L | -52.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Miriana Tona | 10c | 149.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 503 | 36%181 W · 322 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lucia Bronzetti | 15c | 132$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lucia Bronzetti | 61c | 103.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Miriana Tona | 21c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 83.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 167 | 71.9%120 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 14c | 77.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Miriana Tona | 21c | 77.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Lucia Bronzetti | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 28c | 65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Lucia Bronzetti | 78c | 54.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1,079 | 56.3%608 W · 471 L | +50.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 51.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1,212 | 52%630 W · 582 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Lucia Bronzetti | 39c | 34.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 14.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.