Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82024a38309fef67ee389ee2ecae07b5112dfdee74a9126f43d5c3ed02a1ef09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FALKE ESPORTSof Otakar Esports, FALKE ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed FALKE ESPORTS | 71c | 1,926$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.68 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Otakar Esports | 29c | 1,844$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.33 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 74c | 1,533$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.36 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed FALKE ESPORTS | 60c | 697.36$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.59 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Otakar Esports | 26c | 648.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.11 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 60c | 449$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.39 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 58c | 396.86$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.68 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Otakar Esports | 11c | 377.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Otakar Esports | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 74c | 295.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed FALKE ESPORTS | 72c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 67c | 188.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Otakar Esports | 28c | 160.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed FALKE ESPORTS | 63c | 119$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FALKE ESPORTS | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed FALKE ESPORTS | 66c | 91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed FALKE ESPORTS | 67c | 86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Otakar Esports | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Otakar Esports | 24c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 75c | 39.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Otakar Esports | 41c | 34.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 PlayoffsFALKE ESPORTS won
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 2 WinnerFALKE ESPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.