TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FALKE ESPORTSof Otakar Esports, FALKE ESPORTS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed Otakar Esports43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.9654751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf2…66e2backed FALKE ESPORTS57c8,182$4,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,518.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e04…ed0dbacked Otakar Esports1c2,885$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed FALKE ESPORTS57c2,278$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.552240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked FALKE ESPORTS57c2,005$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.342552%13 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Otakar Esports42c1,971$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.0613642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed FALKE ESPORTS57c1,857$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.5923447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed FALKE ESPORTS59c1,314$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.514669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Otakar Esports21c1,267$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.2878162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Otakar Esports4c1,230$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0954342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Otakar Esports44c1,215$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.524946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked FALKE ESPORTS57c1,193$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.989052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked FALKE ESPORTS57c972.96$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.77749.4%38 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed FALKE ESPORTS53c823.16$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.215942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Otakar Esports30c678.98$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6630147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FALKE ESPORTS57c602.47$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.0615343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Otakar Esports43c592.06$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5814158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked FALKE ESPORTS57c585.49$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.762055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed FALKE ESPORTS57c550$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.59443.6%41 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Otakar Esports48c504.99$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed Otakar Esports40c476.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9118735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ae…ce30backed Otakar Esports48c446.9$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked FALKE ESPORTS57c434.49$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8313741.6%57 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Otakar Esports24c427.94$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.811,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed FALKE ESPORTS56c412$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2810844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Otakar Esports44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17670251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked FALKE ESPORTS57c382.87$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6317353.8%93 W · 80 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Otakar Esports28c342.86$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9542540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed FALKE ESPORTS57c341.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.985048%24 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed FALKE ESPORTS52c338$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2433348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked FALKE ESPORTS57c292.25$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8612850%64 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FALKE ESPORTS60c276.31$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.521,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked FALKE ESPORTS57c239.27$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.894957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69aa…4847backed Otakar Esports9c231.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33f0…b7aebacked FALKE ESPORTS70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Otakar Esports30c197.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8578562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked FALKE ESPORTS57c194.84$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4414959.7%89 W · 60 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed FALKE ESPORTS57c180.31$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.535738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed FALKE ESPORTS57c179.46$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.175341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FALKE ESPORTS66c161.16$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.471,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Otakar Esports42c141.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5931153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FALKE ESPORTS79c141.81$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7888844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Otakar Esports43c132$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7623055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Otakar Esports43c132$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7613848.6%67 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf342…a5e9backed Otakar Esports43c129.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.833333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed FALKE ESPORTS63c119.66$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1717654.5%96 W · 80 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc9…00a6backed FALKE ESPORTS59c115.35$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed FALKE ESPORTS59c109.23$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.796053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Otakar Esports46c107.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4110237.3%38 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1041…3961backed FALKE ESPORTS57c102.55$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Otakar Esports43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Otakar Esports42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4225745.9%118 W · 139 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FALKE ESPORTS79c97.09$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.391,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Otakar Esports44c96.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.523748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Otakar Esports42c94.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7311446.5%53 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2555…5254backed Otakar Esports34c83.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.861741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Otakar Esports17c81.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7824250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Otakar Esports44c77.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0210749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9984…87cfbacked Otakar Esports37c76.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked FALKE ESPORTS71c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.053461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked FALKE ESPORTS65c73.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6719661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc696…7889backed FALKE ESPORTS58c66.12$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Otakar Esports41c59.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.616345.4%74 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Otakar Esports30c55.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6457517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf8ac…fd38backed Otakar Esports35c52.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed FALKE ESPORTS57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0516046.9%75 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked FALKE ESPORTS56c51.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Otakar Esports41c48.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.948744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Otakar Esports36c47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0563652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fb0…ed25backed Otakar Esports31c46.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.477745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked FALKE ESPORTS69c43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2410346.6%48 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc539…ca4ebacked FALKE ESPORTS57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3710100%10 W · 0 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed FALKE ESPORTS58c37.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.649561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Otakar Esports32c33.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5615512.3%19 W · 136 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x449f…f386backed Otakar Esports41c27.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.071127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Otakar Esports43c24.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8224846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FALKE ESPORTS69c23.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed FALKE ESPORTS52c20.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8643843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3a…e4f4backed FALKE ESPORTS65c19.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed FALKE ESPORTS57c19.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.475858.6%34 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x191a…2ea6backed FALKE ESPORTS59c17.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.328100%8 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed FALKE ESPORTS80c15.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+91.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.