Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8afdde12bf36df3071bc7a94cf266a642ab3c2475822375ef18d9c47ceecc11f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FALKE ESPORTSof Otakar Esports, FALKE ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 54c | 2,256$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.01 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Otakar Esports | 50c | 1,634$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.81 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Otakar Esports | 50c | 929.1$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.35 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Otakar Esports | 23c | 917.07$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.01 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed FALKE ESPORTS | 74c | 568.18$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 55c | 506.66$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Otakar Esports | 33c | 419.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Otakar Esports | 30c | 402.29$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 50c | 395.76$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.88 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 65c | 331.04$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Otakar Esports | 24c | 237.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed FALKE ESPORTS | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed FALKE ESPORTS | 66c | 169$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed FALKE ESPORTS | 62c | 130$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…4847backed FALKE ESPORTS | 37c | 125.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed FALKE ESPORTS | 65c | 120.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Otakar Esports | 45c | 119.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed FALKE ESPORTS | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed FALKE ESPORTS | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed FALKE ESPORTS | 68c | 86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Otakar Esports | 41c | 85.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Otakar Esports | 50c | 79.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Otakar Esports | 21c | 49.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…5da1backed Otakar Esports | 24c | 47.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed FALKE ESPORTS | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed FALKE ESPORTS | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed FALKE ESPORTS | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed FALKE ESPORTS | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed FALKE ESPORTS | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Otakar Esports | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Otakar Esports | 58c | 29.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FALKE ESPORTS | 50c | 22.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 PlayoffsFALKE ESPORTS won
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 1 WinnerFALKE ESPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.