Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8209c17b23d5f7b32e1d5a3af32de55ab4faa5930453739ded1041b8fb1ad1c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 32c | 3,383$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.66 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 1,408$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,291$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.02 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 79c | 960.06$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 45c | 800.44$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.33 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 57c | 783.36$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.05 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 13c | 770.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 34c | 741.14$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 7c | 673.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 552.49$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.28 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 33c | 480.64$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 28c | 337.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.17 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 58c | 293.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 43c | 164.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 66c | 125.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 125.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 67c | 111.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 79c | 106.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 65c | 99.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…0bc7backed Yes | 33c | 97.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 35c | 86.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes | 59c | 82.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 62.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…ed5abacked Yes | 60c | 48.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 65c | 48.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 49c | 46.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 44c | 43.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 67c | 43.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…323abacked Yes | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 39.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…7a04backed Yes | 57c | 38.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 56c | 36.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 79c | 34.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 67c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 54c | 29.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 73c | 24.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 65c | 21.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 69c | 20.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…32e8backed Yes | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Yes | 61c | 19.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 60c | 18.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 74c | 15.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-04-06?this page
- Will FC Arouca vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.