Asian League · resolved market
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x828846a521081417c0c5da8e513592c7607c83269234de1bf0ec035598c17bb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed1f…ee79backed Over | 71c | 2,670$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 2,034$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.42 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 38c | 1,537$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 70c | 714.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 73c | 687.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Over | 7c | 600$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.38per pick | 6cpaid | +717.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Over | 7c | 600$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Over | 9c | 596.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +969.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 404.31$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Over | 11c | 400$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +411.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 3c | 372.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 47c | 304.19$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 41c | 302.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Over | 50c | 278$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 43c | 232.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.51 | 201 | 65.7%132 W · 69 L | +28.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 38c | 133.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 43c | 129.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 40c | 123.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 40c | 123.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 46c | 113.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 69c | 102.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Over | 78c | 100.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…4badbacked Over | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 73c | 82.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 52c | 71.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 158 | 72.2%114 W · 44 L | +34.3wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 66c | 71.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked Under | 40c | 62.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Under | 26c | 55.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 58c | 53.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 30c | 51.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 30c | 36.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 30c | 36.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 30c | 36.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 30c | 36.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 77c | 32.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 71c | 30.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 77c | 24.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 77c | 24.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 77c | 24.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 77c | 24.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 74c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 77c | 17.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c425backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 1.5this page
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 2.5Under won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 3.5Under won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5)JEF United Ichihara Chiba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.