Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Quinn vs Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82a6c6876a90dbe27e563d2c602d6a249dc3815717f43ca48a56b67cf374d979
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quinnof Quinn, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Quinn | 63c | 1,142$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.19 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Darderi | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Darderi | 36c | 375.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Darderi | 52c | 242.04$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Darderi | 37c | 200.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Quinn | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Darderi | 43c | 181.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Quinn | 70c | 175.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Darderi | 37c | 160$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Quinn | 48c | 138$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Darderi | 37c | 125$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Darderi | 37c | 124.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Darderi | 41c | 101.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Darderi | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Quinn | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Quinn | 52c | 93.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…c98cbacked Quinn | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Quinn | 47c | 70.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Quinn | 49c | 62.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Darderi | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Darderi | 46c | 48.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Darderi | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Darderi | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Quinn | 60c | 40.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Darderi | 58c | 38.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Darderi | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Quinn | 69c | 25.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Darderi | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Quinn | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Quinn vs Darderithis page
- Set 2 Winner: Quinn vs DarderiQuinn won
- Set Handicap: Quinn (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)Quinn won
- Set Handicap: Quinn (-2.5) vs Darderi (+2.5)Quinn won
- Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano DarderiEthan Quinn won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.