Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Albany Great Danes vs. UMBC Retrievers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82c09ba56538626c435606f7818ea1e4b747e1917bec487bbcfe6f280cb90657
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UMBC Retrieversof Albany Great Danes, UMBC Retrievers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UMBC Retrievers | 74c | 2,740$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.98 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Albany Great Danes | 35c | 2,265$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.06 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Albany Great Danes | 26c | 1,731$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Albany Great Danes | 32c | 1,320$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.84 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Albany Great Danes | 28c | 727.72$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.76 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed UMBC Retrievers | 72c | 698$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.44 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked UMBC Retrievers | 71c | 677.08$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Albany Great Danes | 28c | 550.79$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UMBC Retrievers | 73c | 506.94$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UMBC Retrievers | 78c | 497.45$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UMBC Retrievers | 72c | 439$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.92 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Albany Great Danes | 18c | 427.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Albany Great Danes | 39c | 393.23$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.45 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed UMBC Retrievers | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UMBC Retrievers | 73c | 330.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UMBC Retrievers | 68c | 330.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Albany Great Danes | 27c | 302$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Albany Great Danes | 28c | 299.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UMBC Retrievers | 70c | 256.94$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed UMBC Retrievers | 75c | 233$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed UMBC Retrievers | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UMBC Retrievers | 76c | 207.36$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Albany Great Danes | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Albany Great Danes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Albany Great Danes | 12c | 188.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Albany Great Danes | 29c | 160.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Albany Great Danes | 27c | 155$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Albany Great Danes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UMBC Retrievers | 71c | 134.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Albany Great Danes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Albany Great Danes | 20c | 104.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…7851backed UMBC Retrievers | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked UMBC Retrievers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed UMBC Retrievers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Albany Great Danes | 29c | 97.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Albany Great Danes | 21c | 97.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f93bbacked Albany Great Danes | 36c | 82.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UMBC Retrievers | 78c | 80.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Albany Great Danes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed UMBC Retrievers | 74c | 58.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked Albany Great Danes | 22c | 51.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Albany Great Danes | 29c | 50.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e4…247abacked Albany Great Danes | 39c | 47.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed Albany Great Danes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Albany Great Danes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…85c8backed UMBC Retrievers | 58c | 26.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed UMBC Retrievers | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…ad0cbacked UMBC Retrievers | 70c | 24.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed UMBC Retrievers | 73c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed UMBC Retrievers | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albany Great Danes vs. UMBC Retrieversthis page
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-6.5)Albany Great Danes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.