Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BW (-2.5) vs Team Phoenix (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82fa36178d5f0c51b4b94fc88a6a7199c4085fc193cf9f8fcb2b1a484470d936
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 3,754$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.26 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Team Phoenix | 34c | 3,047$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.07 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 1,432$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.13 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Phoenix | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Team Phoenix | 34c | 976.47$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 940.79$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.31 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Team Phoenix | 30c | 805$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 694.19$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.81 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Team Phoenix | 35c | 411.01$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 372.5$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 372$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bf…a6f7backed Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 344.71$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Phoenix | 32c | 313.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Phoenix | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Team Phoenix | 33c | 296.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Team Phoenix | 30c | 251$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Phoenix | 32c | 238.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bushido Wildcats | 72c | 223.83$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Team Phoenix | 30c | 150.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Phoenix | 30c | 102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Phoenix | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Phoenix | 34c | 80.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 65.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Phoenix | 34c | 46.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…bb2cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 42.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Team Phoenix | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Phoenix | 33c | 37.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Bushido Wildcats | 72c | 32.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 29.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 209 | 67%140 W · 69 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BW (-2.5) vs Team Phoenix (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 3 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.