Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x406ecc742d2db167e099444dae74f73298bca937ec42ed1021ac427957593f68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Team Phoenix | 20c | 2,686$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.83 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Phoenix | 4c | 600.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Phoenix | 16c | 320.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Phoenix | 28c | 301.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 206.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Phoenix | 14c | 154.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Team Phoenix | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 61.3%130 W · 82 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Team Phoenix | 32c | 118.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 213 | 54.9%117 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 94.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 93.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 215 | 44.7%96 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed Team Phoenix | 30c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Team Phoenix | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Phoenix | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 977 | 44.8%438 W · 539 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec21…33dcbacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Phoenix | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 889 | 49.6%441 W · 448 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 30.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…a5babacked Bushido Wildcats | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BW (-2.5) vs Team Phoenix (+2.5)Bushido Wildcats won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.