Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fcc00e46992f4c84a9cfce61d06c7c2b8fcfb7e8a9825e64fafd5b5b2ef87f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 68c | 2,478$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.68 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 69c | 1,439$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.36 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Over | 33c | 1,401$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.3 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 31c | 1,063$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.49 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 31c | 772.77$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.71 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 69c | 667$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…8260backed Under | 79c | 595.99$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 21c | 499.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 67c | 450$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 889 | 50.5%449 W · 440 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 31c | 438.69$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -14.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 69c | 334.3$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 32c | 320.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 32c | 267.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 29c | 257.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Over | 28c | 167$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 273 | 53.5%146 W · 127 L | +28.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 29c | 157.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 70c | 107.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Over | 30c | 102.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 153 | 62.1%95 W · 58 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 30c | 90.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 33c | 88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Over | 31c | 83.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 35c | 72.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 67c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 70c | 52.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 29c | 41.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 744 | 49.7%370 W · 374 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 28c | 40.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 300 | 46%138 W · 162 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 70c | 34.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 208 | 67.3%140 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Over | 34c | 30.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Under | 78c | 29.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…2b45backed Under | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 76c | 19.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 381 | 55.1%210 W · 171 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: BW (-2.5) vs Team Phoenix (+2.5)Bushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 3 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.