Boxing · resolved market
Will Logan and Jake Paul fight before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83665b516511ec8807bb023ed03ef15482bc90c0640ae835ec6193571231d06e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2759…b001backed Yes | 3c | 1,363$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…ae03backed Yes | 3c | 1,299$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,150$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…5527backed Yes | 19c | 1,093$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 3c | 850$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…913bbacked Yes | 20c | 826.7$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…9f67backed Yes | 19c | 805.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Yes | 17c | 797.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…8936backed No | 79c | 620.71$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…a6d3backed Yes | 3c | 432.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf078…7e41backed Yes | 3c | 398.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed Yes | 18c | 336.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes | 30c | 335.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…fb36backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 8c | 270.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 14c | 244.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 15c | 221.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…74abbacked Yes | 17c | 207.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked Yes | 19c | 191.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa648…76ecbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 72c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5629…64bebacked Yes | 16c | 92.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 15c | 83.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 74c | 75.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 68.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf43…30acbacked No | 72c | 21.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…c89ebacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.