Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8399d0edbd3afa9900f1b0d1645eb4cb726cf01ac0d949cfd345790e190a1922
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 12c | 408$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 396.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Yes | 60c | 306.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 40c | 228$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 191.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 99.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 93.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 15c | 84.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 79.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 62c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 63c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 52.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 65c | 48.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 63c | 41.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 34c | 36.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…f7e6backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 62c | 28.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 39c | 27.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed No | 40c | 27.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Yes | 66c | 22.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will Alashkert FA win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.