Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Alashkert FA win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad180defc1b6b4e76f78bbd6310fd6ddc706e9476e11c6fb6763b2368d16d61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 16c | 3,391$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,995$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.15 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 2,384$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.94 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,359$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.12 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 15c | 2,011$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.98 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 15c | 1,906$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.33 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 15c | 1,884$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.85 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 15c | 1,860$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.76 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 15c | 1,600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 743.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 16c | 564$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 17c | 540.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 17c | 299.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 16c | 169$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 17c | 160.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 16c | 102.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 15c | 98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 16c | 97.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 16c | 91.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 15c | 86.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 18c | 80.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alashkert FA win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA end in a draw?No won
- Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.