Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Baylor Bears (-35.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83f5c9a6ce1df32cdb91a048642d04afea2e27074e7590a3aaf5f60b323ac264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baylor Bearsof Baylor Bears, Alcorn State Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Baylor Bears | 50c | 400.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alcorn State Braves | 50c | 365.59$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Alcorn State Braves | 53c | 342$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baylor Bears | 47c | 244.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Alcorn State Braves | 51c | 122$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Baylor Bears | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Alcorn State Braves | 52c | 116$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Alcorn State Braves | 51c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Alcorn State Braves | 51c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Alcorn State Braves | 51c | 82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Alcorn State Braves | 54c | 80.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Baylor Bears | 52c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Alcorn State Braves | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Alcorn State Braves | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Alcorn State Braves | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Alcorn State Braves | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Alcorn State Braves | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Alcorn State Braves | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Baylor Bears | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Baylor Bears | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Baylor Bears | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Baylor Bears | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alcorn State Braves | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Baylor Bears | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Baylor Bears | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Baylor Bears | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Baylor Bears | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Baylor Bears | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Baylor Bears | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Baylor Bears | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Alcorn State Braves | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Baylor Bears | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Baylor Bears | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Baylor Bears | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Baylor Bears | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Baylor Bears | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-35.5)this page
- Alcorn State Braves vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 163.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.