Tennis · resolved market
Piracicaba: Paulo Dos Santos vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x848c16f2c4dbcd3db36cc954bd1c45a4be4a5c1e5bd8e9a22dfc1fb852aea708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidaof Paulo Dos Santos, Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Paulo Dos Santos | 11c | 24,049$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.11 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paulo Dos Santos | 9c | 1,858$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 2c | 1,378$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Paulo Dos Santos | 3c | 1,054$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Paulo Dos Santos | 11c | 1,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 21c | 889.15$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.95 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Paulo Dos Santos | 11c | 818.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Paulo Dos Santos | 8c | 779.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Paulo Dos Santos | 6c | 488$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 38c | 430.06$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 70c | 400$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 70c | 400$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Paulo Dos Santos | 28c | 348.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 16c | 305.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 9c | 274.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…bcbebacked Paulo Dos Santos | 14c | 272.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Paulo Dos Santos | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 10c | 263.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…200bbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 73c | 219.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Paulo Dos Santos | 13c | 162.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 15c | 160.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Paulo Dos Santos | 13c | 149.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Paulo Dos Santos | 13c | 148.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 70c | 143.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 70c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Paulo Dos Santos | 18c | 137.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Paulo Dos Santos | 22c | 134$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 15c | 133.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Paulo Dos Santos | 14c | 131.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 14c | 91.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 67c | 90.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 77c | 89.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 70c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 67c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 15c | 68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 66c | 66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 61c | 65.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 69c | 61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 64c | 54.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 73c | 50.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Paulo Dos Santos | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Paulo Dos Santos | 24c | 49.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 62c | 48.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 61c | 43.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 76c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 76c | 25.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 79c | 16.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 67c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.