Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8492455bd3b08369aabe3d2597cf5841b1bcd8d22fac5a39f5efb8d0e59a0a97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California-San Diego Tritonsof California-San Diego Tritons, Cal Poly Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x691a…d113backed California-San Diego Tritons | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 1,887$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.38 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 46c | 1,293$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.58 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 47c | 837.32$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.54 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 47c | 832.68$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.36 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed California-San Diego Tritons | 55c | 543.39$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.65 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 46c | 505.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed California-San Diego Tritons | 56c | 444.79$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.95 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 45c | 417.37$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.03 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 44c | 323.66$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 47c | 256.74$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 46c | 98.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 46c | 71.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 47c | 52.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 47c | 36.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-6.5)this page
- Cal Poly Mustangs vs. California-San Diego TritonsCalifornia-San Diego Tritons won
- Cal Poly Mustangs vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 162.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.