Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ohio Bobcats vs. Buffalo Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849433df35a4d76a4b014603028916dc704b89d2c185baa0751774488b22d264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Bobcatsof Ohio Bobcats, Buffalo Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Buffalo Bulls | 10c | 1,114$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio Bobcats | 41c | 833.31$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.85 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Buffalo Bulls | 15c | 707.82$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Ohio Bobcats | 65c | 539.32$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.32 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ohio Bobcats | 51c | 396.04$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.31 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Buffalo Bulls | 25c | 356.77$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Buffalo Bulls | 53c | 249$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Buffalo Bulls | 60c | 243$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ohio Bobcats | 61c | 240.74$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Buffalo Bulls | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Buffalo Bulls | 26c | 193.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ohio Bobcats | 38c | 127.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Ohio Bobcats | 42c | 104.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Ohio Bobcats | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Ohio Bobcats | 62c | 78.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Buffalo Bulls | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Ohio Bobcats | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Buffalo Bulls | 62c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Ohio Bobcats | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Ohio Bobcats | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ohio Bobcats | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Buffalo Bulls | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ohio Bobcats | 42c | 32.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Buffalo Bulls | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ohio Bobcats | 72c | 25.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Buffalo Bullsthis page
- Spread: Buffalo Bulls (-3.5)Ohio Bobcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.