MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84a350ea825e6d8b1529615f7a7767d7c900064107e20bde062b1f69063425e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 3,104$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.89 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 875.58$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.51 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 681.24$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.24 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 680$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.8 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 642.95$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.35 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Chicago White Sox | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 305$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.34 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 219.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Chicago White Sox | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 129.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Minnesota Twins | 67c | 113.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Chicago White Sox | 31c | 106.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 94.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Minnesota Twins | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 754 | 53.2%401 W · 353 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 63.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Chicago White Sox | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 38.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Minnesota Twins | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Minnesota Twins | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 35.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.