TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
CTBC Flying Oysterof CTBC Flying Oyster, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,487 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming1c3,985$21 inLost-$21.1189810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming7c3,090$223 inLost-$223.3399338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb470…ba61backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming1c1,799$18 inLost-$18.412326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-56%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming8c1,779$148 inLost-$147.62,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming7c1,199$88 inLost-$87.5177131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming5c1,184$63 inLost-$62.5921735%76 W · 141 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming5c1,000$50 inLost-$5021836.7%80 W · 138 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming7c700$50 inLost-$49.71,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7253…0558backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming8c617.28$50 inLost-$5018236.8%67 W · 115 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming10c597.14$59 inLost-$58.8225923.2%60 W · 199 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming10c575$57 inLost-$57.41,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming9c530$50 inLost-$49.7222234.7%77 W · 145 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming7c498$37 inLost-$36.5554129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming7c411$30 inLost-$29.8426940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69cb…a452backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming9c261.7$23 inLost-$23.1540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming7c235$16 inLost-$15.991,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming9c199.7$19 inLost-$18.6156317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5470…accfbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming10c150$15 inLost-$151030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.