South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84ce4b78555b1e0a8f191b8f23cb9d9a8cc8b4c3ab956f92770aede7ee544ff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 57c | 1,075$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.88 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…1a11backed No | 49c | 861.05$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 636.89$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 280.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 196.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 144.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 56c | 98.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 53c | 91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 45c | 56.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 45c | 54.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…cb2bbacked Yes | 49c | 53.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 57c | 39.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 45c | 27.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…45febacked Yes | 57c | 26.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 24.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…742ebacked Yes | 49c | 20.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 20.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)CF América won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-2.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.