TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,143 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c597.94$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.038,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under21c530.78$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.565,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over58c334.53$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.512940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over79c225.32$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.32862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked Over73c191$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.573881.6%31 W · 7 L+10.2wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+44.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3654…04fbbacked Under22c157.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.331618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-61.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under27c140.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.921,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under39c123.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.021,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over73c114.92$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.912,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Under22c113.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.993043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.57852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under28c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.57247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc5…eb41backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under26c85.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.193,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Over77c85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.278155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa582…01eabacked Under50c75.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x770d…9458backed Under50c72.06$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4078…20e7backed Under50c71.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…ef6abacked Over64c71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.35366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd2…1c9cbacked Under50c70.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa135…d3debacked Under50c68.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe77…a6cdbacked Under50c67.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac1…6baebacked Under50c67.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc43e…56b0backed Under50c67.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…9270backed Under50c66.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…373ebacked Under50c66.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x357e…6f41backed Under50c66.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…6e75backed Under50c66.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ca…9009backed Under50c66.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…c17fbacked Under50c66.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2594…3f33backed Under50c65.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59bc…ed04backed Under50c65.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a52…2f3fbacked Under50c65.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaed…7efbbacked Under50c65.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a2…085cbacked Under50c65.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x428e…78d2backed Under50c65.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5539…d7aebacked Under50c65.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe891…70e5backed Under50c65.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc83…bbc4backed Under50c65.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd12…9a22backed Under50c64.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x824d…e7b8backed Under50c64.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c6…eca1backed Under50c64.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over55c64.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.147420.3%15 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd0…b6f0backed Under50c64.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a5…5ee7backed Under50c64.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce3…193dbacked Under50c64.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb169…391dbacked Under50c63.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa10…3b30backed Under50c63.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd110…de23backed Under50c63.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5469…13e5backed Under50c63.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x743b…ada6backed Under50c63.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ef…42dcbacked Under50c63.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c3…bd1cbacked Under50c63.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…6b0fbacked Under50c63.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…e053backed Under50c63.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4961…2a1fbacked Under50c63.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fda…6b1abacked Under50c63.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…b8debacked Under50c63.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4c…ca47backed Under50c63.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b03…5846backed Under50c63.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2022…4366backed Under50c63.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…aff8backed Under50c63.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca5…9931backed Under50c63.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e48…598ebacked Under50c62.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4281…be3bbacked Under50c62.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e28…7e91backed Under50c62.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e9…6c71backed Under50c62.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…b297backed Under50c62.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d4f…fb06backed Under50c62.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecd1…7437backed Under50c62.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e0…c20ebacked Under50c62.32$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ba…5b8fbacked Under50c62.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x060b…23d7backed Under50c62.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f20…e082backed Under50c62.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad0…7ab7backed Under50c62.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4a…36b7backed Under50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d97…0319backed Under50c61.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83f3…e609backed Under50c61.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44e6…5ec9backed Under50c61.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c3…4666backed Under50c61.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b62…2ff7backed Under50c61.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…1a81backed Under50c61.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c9…5bb8backed Under50c61.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73de…ea44backed Under50c61.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9695…46fdbacked Under50c61.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3bb…4131backed Under50c61.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3d…b786backed Under50c61.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2acb…b682backed Under50c61.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd725…c9ebbacked Under50c61.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf10…231fbacked Under50c61.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4bc…68dabacked Under50c61.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…41c0backed Under50c60.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6234…00a8backed Under50c60.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f38…bdbbbacked Under50c60.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f0…2b81backed Under50c60.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c3…0093backed Under50c60.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f84…6c21backed Under50c60.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2583…2462backed Under50c60.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.