South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5781525bef44ec915671e3ca2fb1e7c0403f570d113079db5e095162ec516ac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 29c | 8,534$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.16 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 4,542$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 1,038$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 893.75$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.77 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Under | 74c | 891.89$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.89 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Over | 19c | 778.08$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 54c | 617.99$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.72 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 581.13$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under | 71c | 556.66$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.43 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 554.9$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.17 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 74c | 480.28$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 74c | 419.81$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 71c | 349.94$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 71c | 311.38$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Over | 62c | 299.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 10c | 278.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.57 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Over | 73c | 232.64$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…bcfbbacked Under | 53c | 175.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 71c | 138.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 71c | 133.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 123.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 112.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 58c | 86.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc5…eb41backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 65c | 71.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 71c | 70.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 71c | 68.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Over | 24c | 54.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 47c | 54.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…bc8cbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 28c | 49.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 46.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 71c | 45.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…859fbacked Over | 56c | 44.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Under | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Over | 36c | 41.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 32c | 39.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked Under | 71c | 39.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 79c | 34.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 73c | 32.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…f05abacked Over | 70c | 32.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 68c | 29.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 71c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Under | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 80c | 25.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 50c | 24.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 72c | 19.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 69c | 19.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5this page
- CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)CF América won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-2.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.