Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bacau: Lucian Stefan Andrei vs Matei Todoran
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84d8958ac49e69efb417397526326b6a8b524d5b6657f6fb9dcaf0b1943c2721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matei Todoranof Lucian Stefan Andrei, Matei Todoran
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 16c | 1,860$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Lucian Stefan Andrei | 23c | 1,189$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.41 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matei Todoran | 79c | 478.51$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 16c | 343.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 478 | 52.1%249 W · 229 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Lucian Stefan Andrei | 12c | 299.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Lucian Stefan Andrei | 20c | 265$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 20c | 255$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 7c | 246.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matei Todoran | 79c | 238.29$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Matei Todoran | 78c | 210$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Lucian Stefan Andrei | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 568 | 53.9%306 W · 262 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Lucian Stefan Andrei | 15c | 195.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…aa03backed Lucian Stefan Andrei | 26c | 192.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 15c | 165.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Lucian Stefan Andrei | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Lucian Stefan Andrei | 15c | 164.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 17c | 148.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…ab1cbacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 16c | 120.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 16c | 103.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 17c | 97.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Matei Todoran | 80c | 93.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Matei Todoran | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Lucian Stefan Andrei | 15c | 67.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lucian Stefan Andrei | 41c | 66.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…371dbacked Matei Todoran | 59c | 48.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lucian Stefan Andrei | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Matei Todoran | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.