Ligue 1 · resolved market
AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8543d8052e5637bb8c46e71800eb92e2e55d0b59c98bc872e8a26682b5598262
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 57c | 2,533$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.05 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,830$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.12 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 46c | 1,014$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 926.45$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.37 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 45c | 560$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.6 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 542.86$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 49c | 91.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 44c | 59.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…fb53backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)OGC Nice won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.