Tennis · resolved market
ITF Elvas: Nao Hibino vs Vaishnavi Adkar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8572f30b000ed7fe0835603baf24feda5bb71238257945a328a16c6822e73c7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nao Hibinoof Nao Hibino, Vaishnavi Adkar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Nao Hibino | 58c | 4,645$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.5 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 49c | 3,427$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.53 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nao Hibino | 46c | 1,862$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.03 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 49c | 1,160$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 20c | 841.48$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nao Hibino | 80c | 823.15$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 48c | 570$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 21c | 510.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 48c | 387.83$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.46 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 53c | 317.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 43c | 307.62$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 44c | 194.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 9c | 172.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 9c | 144.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nao Hibino | 46c | 128$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 43c | 119.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 49c | 114.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 48c | 113$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Nao Hibino | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 373 | 54.2%202 W · 171 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nao Hibino | 51c | 99.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 53c | 86.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nao Hibino | 45c | 80.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 49c | 69.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 54c | 61.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 34c | 56.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 50c | 53.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nao Hibino | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Nao Hibino | 46c | 42.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 52c | 34.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 39c | 26.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Nao Hibino | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Nao Hibino | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 107 | 78.5%84 W · 23 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Nao Hibino | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Nao Hibino | 80c | 14.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.