NFL · resolved market
Will the Chargers beat the Panthers by 5 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8587cd25a238992ccc4cb59d4f95a49cb0dc15c9b6a393dc7d4f8b0eb0f838ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Chargers, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Chargers | 55c | 3,755$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Panthers | 48c | 1,900$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.99 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Panthers | 48c | 1,545$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.75 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Panthers | 46c | 1,488$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.86 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Panthers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Panthers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Panthers | 45c | 978.58$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.36 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Chargers | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Chargers | 75c | 723.75$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.78 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…84acbacked Chargers | 51c | 581.83$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.67 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Panthers | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…0874backed Chargers | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Panthers | 46c | 275.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.53 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…0c6ebacked Chargers | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Chargers | 56c | 269.21$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Chargers | 55c | 126.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Chargers | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b93…a08abacked Panthers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…5300backed Panthers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Panthers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Panthers | 45c | 76.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -12.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Chargers | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ed…7b02backed Chargers | 57c | 67.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Chargers | 55c | 57.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…3800backed Chargers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…f089backed Chargers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…413abacked Panthers | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Chargers | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Chargers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Chargers beat the Panthers by 5 or more points? this page
- Will the 49ers beat the Vikings by 6 or more points?Vikings won
- Will the Cardinals beat the Rams by 2 or more points?Cardinals won
- Will the Chiefs beat the Bengals by 6 or more points?Bengals won
- Will the Colts beat the Packers by 3 or more points?Packers won
- Will the Commanders beat the Giants by 2 or more points?Commanders won
- Will the Cowboys beat the Saints by 7 or more points?Saints won
- Will the Jaguars beat the Browns by 3 or more points?Browns won
- Will the Jets beat the Titans by 4 or more points?Jets won
- Will the Lions beat the Buccaneers by 8 or more points?Buccaneers won
- Will the Ravens beat the Raiders by 9 or more points?Raiders won
- Will the Seahawks beat the Patriots by 4 or more points?Patriots won
- Will the Steelers beat the Broncos by 3 or more points?Steelers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.