Lol · resolved market
LoL: New Meta vs RAYN Clocks (BO3) - LJL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8596e9824d372d27490f0e86f574a9c8f55e851c899920a92e551be02aed879e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Metaof New Meta, RAYN Clocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked New Meta | 65c | 4,385$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.5 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…5bcfbacked RAYN Clocks | 31c | 1,352$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked RAYN Clocks | 37c | 1,200$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked New Meta | 69c | 999.98$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed New Meta | 68c | 935.49$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.91 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked RAYN Clocks | 32c | 907.42$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.11 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked RAYN Clocks | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked New Meta | 70c | 510$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…ee0cbacked RAYN Clocks | 35c | 510$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked RAYN Clocks | 30c | 506.26$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed RAYN Clocks | 53c | 494.4$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.92 | 115 | 32.2%37 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed RAYN Clocks | 31c | 455.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed New Meta | 71c | 455$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed RAYN Clocks | 31c | 442.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked RAYN Clocks | 33c | 341.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed New Meta | 73c | 299.39$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed RAYN Clocks | 28c | 257.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed RAYN Clocks | 27c | 202.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed RAYN Clocks | 32c | 194.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked RAYN Clocks | 31c | 165$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed RAYN Clocks | 32c | 149$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed RAYN Clocks | 35c | 125.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c248backed New Meta | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 167 | 35.9%60 W · 107 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed RAYN Clocks | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked New Meta | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed New Meta | 69c | 102.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed New Meta | 57c | 101.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed RAYN Clocks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed New Meta | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed RAYN Clocks | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed New Meta | 45c | 94.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New Meta | 46c | 86.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked RAYN Clocks | 35c | 84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…75e4backed New Meta | 50c | 72.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked RAYN Clocks | 32c | 65.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed RAYN Clocks | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked New Meta | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked RAYN Clocks | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked New Meta | 53c | 51.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked RAYN Clocks | 47c | 51.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc09…f937backed RAYN Clocks | 34c | 47.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed New Meta | 72c | 46.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed RAYN Clocks | 25c | 43.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…d0b8backed RAYN Clocks | 34c | 41.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New Meta | 69c | 38.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed New Meta | 46c | 33.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked New Meta | 62c | 32.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed New Meta | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed New Meta | 71c | 26.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…01bdbacked New Meta | 68c | 25.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed New Meta | 52c | 20.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed New Meta | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New Meta | 68c | 14.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: New Meta vs RAYN Clocks (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: New Meta vs RAYN Clocks - Game 1 WinnerNew Meta won
- LoL: New Meta vs RAYN Clocks - Game 2 WinnerRAYN Clocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.